Bitcoin is a Free Market : Interview with Tone Vays ②

We had the pleasure of interviewing Tone Vays, a prominent trader who is a former analyst at JP Morgan and a well-known Bitcoin maximalist. In our first interview, he talked about why he got into Bitcoin from Wall Street and the appeal of this cryptocurrency.

Tone Vays

Interview Date : 14th July 2020


Bitcoin’s Side-Ways Trend

I actually anticipated that Bitcoin would have a sideways trend for a while. During the first week of the year, I wrote a blog post as to what my expectations were for the crypto space and Bitcoin. In the first week of January of this year,  when Bitcoin was around 9000 dollars,  I wrote that I expect “a big crash down to approximately 5000 dollars”, and I expected, “crash before the halving”. That was exactly what happened. Furthermore, I predicted, “Bitcoin would rise from the 5000 dollar area” and “get stuck under 10000 dollars for the rest of the year”. So, I anticipated this consolidation between the 6-7 thousand areas to the 10000 dollar area, because while Bitcoin is significant and it is extraordinary, Bitcoin is highly valued.  To move the price of Bitcoin up is still very challenging. The other big problem in the crypto space is that people believe in scams, which is why many are buying into Altcoins.

The Only Important Thing To Me Is My Bitcoin

Over the last few months, we have seen Bitcoin dominance drop a little bit. Now, I expected Bitcoin dominance to rise over this year, and it will rise eventually, but for now, people are buying into a lot of scams. This is part of what is also holding Bitcoin back a little bit. Still, the supply is very heavy, and there was also a big Ponzi-scheme in China that collected a lot of Bitcoin, implying that everyone wants your Bitcoin. The most valuable thing I have is my Bitcoin. I almost do not care about anything else; you can hack my bank account, you can hack my pay-pal.  I hope that you won’t, but if you do, I can probably get my money back through the banking system. There is only one thing that I cannot get back, and that is my Bitcoin. So I try to protect it, I try to make sure that it is safe from hackers, and anyone that wants to sell me something in exchange for my Bitcoin, I really want to think twice. Do I really want to lose or exchange my Bitcoin for something else? I  don’t see anything in the market that is as valuable as Bitcoin over the long term, but that is just my view on it.

Separation From Bitcoin Is Challenging

The Crypto artist Vesa is great!  I saw him at an event where he had one of his paintings on the walls displayed. His paintings come in only three pieces. During the event, two pieces were already sold as they had corporate logos on them, and there was only one clean piece left. I really needed to have it, but it was hard separating yourself from your Bitcoin when you want to buy a piece of art.

Afterward, we commissioned Vesa to create a painting for the Unconfiscatable Conference. He did a long interview with me to get the essence of what the conference is about, then I let his creativity and his vision to do the rest. He did a magnificent job, and we put together an awesome painting where we had the speakers of the unconfiscatable conference sign it. We auctioned it off, and one of my friends won the auction.

I think that what Vesa is doing id great, and he loves selling his paintings for BTC. Acquiring BTC is challenging, and to separate people from their Bitcoins you have to offer them something they really like. That is a way for him to earn Bitcoin, and I think if not the best, he is in the top 3 most famous crypto artists we have in the space today.

Token Business Model Does Make No Sense

The only cryptocurrency that I pay attention to is Bitcoin. I call the rest scams. Even if some of those cryptocurrencies are not really scams, I fell they are just silly, useless, and kind of stupid. If you have a product that uses a token for the functionality of the product itself while the token is being openly traded on exchanges, that token is a scam to me. There is absolutely no product that needs a fluctuating currency in the middle of a transaction. This business model makes absolutely no sense at all.

A fluctuating Token Product

If this business model would make sense, then we would be paying for Netflix in Netflix stocks.  We would also be paying with e-bay stocks for e-bay, and we would be paying amazon stocks or amazon currency to purchase from Amazon. All these projects use a utility token that does not have a stable value. The only reason to have that token is to print money for yourself and sell it to unqualified investors. I think this business model has broken many security laws that have evolved in the 100 years to protect investors in such companies. Don’t get me wrong, all those are companies, and all of them, from Ethereum to the latest emerging coin, are companies with centralized servers. I don’t see how they are decentralized.

Important Metrics to me

 My evaluation of a tokens stops the moment I realize the only reason for it to exists is for a selected few people to profit on the printing and the creation of that token. The only metrics I use are for Bitcoin, including the innovations which are being built and integrated on top of Bitcoin like the Lightning Network, the Liquid side chain, and the Hash Rate. Hash Rate just hit a new high, meaning the electricity securing Bitcoin has never been higher. Those are all positive metrics that ensure operations on Bitcoin go smoothly with no problems.

Besides, the Bitcoin network never goes down. It has not gone down even for a second in the last 5~6 years. Maybe the transactions are not always fast, they are not always private but they always work, but my Bitcoin transactions always go through.  Those are the metrics that I really care about and with every passing day the confidence that I have in the Bitcoin that I protect only rises.

Bitcoin is a Free Market

I do not think there are people in the market that could influence the market because they have power. People think that they do but even if they do it is only temporary. I do not think anyone person has that kind of effect.  Again, we have to separate the Bitcoin from the rest of the crypto coins.

In the world of Bitcoin, I don’t think there is anyone that has such kind of an effect influencing anything in the market. Now, if someone has a lot of Bitcoin and they actually sell that Bitcoin or they have a lot of money and they are going to buy Bitcoin, they will move the price.

A lot of people call that manipulation. I don’t like to use the term manipulation for someone with a lot of money or a lot of Bitcoin moving the market. I believe in free markets, and I believe that if you have a lot of Bitcoin, you can move it around. If you want to sell it you should not be restricted because it is risky for you not to take on big bets as there might be a bigger fish that will take you down in the market. The same applied to the US dollar market. If you are a billionaire who wants to come into space, and you want to throw a million dollars and buy Bitcoin immediately, you will move the price to the upside, and that’s great.

However, when it comes to the other cryptocurrencies, there is usually one person or a small group of people, that have an enormous influence on the markets. If the CEO of one of the big Altcoin company says something, the market or the price will move. So any markets in the crypto space can easily be influenced by these charismatic leaders. But when it comes to Bitcoin, I believe in free markets and I don’t think anyone has overwhelming influences in it.

Interviewer , Editor : Lina Kamada



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